Math 37 - HW 11

Practice Assignment (to be discussed randomly Wednesday, April 21)

1) A single test at the a=.05 level will wrongly reject H0 only 5% of the time when H0 is actually true. In class, we discussed making three separate tests at the a=.05 level. Explain why we expect to be wrong for at least one of the three tests more than 5% of the time.

2) The following two-way table classifies hypothetical hospital patients according to the hospital that treated them and whether they survived or died:

 

Survived

Died

Total

Hospital A

400

100

500

Hospital B

450

50

500

(a) Which hospital saved the higher percentage of its patients? How would you test if there was a significant difference in the survival rates at the two hospitals?

Now we categorize each patient according to whether they were in fair or poor condition prior to treatment:

 

Fair condition

 

Poor Condition

 

Survived

Died

 

Survived

Died

Hospital A

295

5

 

105

95

Hospital B

435

15

 

15

35

(b) Among those if fair condition, compare the recovery rates for the two hospitals. Which hospital saved the greater percentage?

(c) Among those in poor condition, compare the recovery rates for the two hospitals. Which hospital saved the greater percentage?

(d) Explain how it happens that hospital B has the higher recovery rate overall, yet hospital A has the higher recovery rate for each type of patient?

(e) Which hospital would you rather go to if you were ill? Explain.

3) A population paperback book is published in a choice of four different covers. A certain bookstore keeps copies of each cover on its racks. To test the hypothesis that sales are equally divided among the four choices, a random sample of 100 purchases is identified.

(a) If the results C2 value is 6.4, what conclusion would you reach when using a test with significance level .05?

(b) What conclusion would be appropriate at significance level .01 if C2=15.3?

(c) If there were six different covers rather than just four, what would you conclude if C2=13.7 and a test with a=.05 is used?

Homework Assignment (Due Friday, April 23)

Remember to always state hypotheses and check technical assumptions. Please also see footnote 5 on page 659. Feel free to solve the following questions on the computer.

1) (p. 652) 9.22 Give numerical and graphical summaries and perform the appropriate test of significance, (p. 654) 9.30

2) Construct your own hypothetical data to illustrate Simpson’s paradox in the following context: Show that it is possible for one softball player (Amy) to have a higher percentage of hits than another (Barb) in the first half of the season and in the second half of the season, and yet have a lower percentage of hits for the season as a whole. I’ll get you started: suppose that Amy has 400 at-bats in the first half of the season and 100 in the second half, and suppose that Barb has 100 at-bats in the first half and 400 in the second half. This creates an inequity in sample size. You are to make up how many hits each player had in each half of the season, so that the above statement holds (the proportion of hits is the number of hits divided by the number of at bats).

 

First half

second half

season as whole

Amy’s hits

 

 

 

Amy’s at-bats

400

100

500

Amy’s proportion of hits

 

 

 

Barb’s hits

 

 

 

Barb’s at-bats

100

400

500

Barb’s proportion of hits

 

 

 

3) (p. 781) 12.8, 12.22